Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 11 Mar 2024

Defensa y Justicia
2-1 HT 1-1
Union Santa Fe
📅11/03/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Defensa y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.31
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.17
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.53
X/2
8%
6.68
X/X
13%
3.58
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
11%
5.51
2/X
7%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.42/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.27
+23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
17.5 Crosses 19.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Defensa y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
280 Passes 287
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
28.07.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
15.10.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
03.05.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-2 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
18.11.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-3 HT 2-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
02.05.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
2-1
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.55 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
304 Passes 260
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensa y Justicia nicked a narrow win over Union Santa Fe 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Defensa y Justicia as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 51% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 49%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.55 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 1.00 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?

Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 42%, draw 30%, Union Santa Fe 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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