Septemvri Sofia 6-1 Hebar 1918 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Septemvri Sofia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 26%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.32
-13% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Septemvri Sofia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hebar 1918
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-2 HT 1-1 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
26.05.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 3-1 HT 1-0 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Septemvri Sofia
6-1
AWAY Hebar 1918
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar 1918
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Septemvri Sofia swept aside Hebar 1918 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Septemvri Sofia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Septemvri Sofia had 47% of the ball to Hebar 1918's 53%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Septemvri Sofia and 2.00 for Hebar 1918.

What was the final score of Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Septemvri Sofia 6-1 Hebar 1918 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Septemvri Sofia vs Hebar 1918?

Before kick-off our model rated a Septemvri Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Septemvri Sofia 46%, draw 27%, Hebar 1918 27%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Septemvri Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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