Randers FC 4-2 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.82
Over 2.5
56%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.62
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
15%
6.6
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
11%
4.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
32.0
2/2
21%
3.19
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.35/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.57
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
19.8 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Brondby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.14 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
390 Passes 400
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
02.11.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAK
22.10.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
03.09.2023 Brondby Brondby 3-1 HT 3-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
07.05.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Brondby Brondby DAN
23.04.2023 Brondby Brondby 0-4 HT 0-2 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
4-2
AWAY Brondby
2.00 xG 1.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
351 Passes 477
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC got the better of Brondby 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Randers FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Randers FC had 44% of the ball to Brondby's 56%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 2.00 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Randers FC and 1.83 for Brondby.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs Brondby?

Randers FC 4-2 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 36%, draw 25%, Brondby 39%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brondby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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