Brondby 2-2 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
10%
10.35
X/X
14%
5.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.25
2/2
13%
7.46
2/X
6%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.25 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.76/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.76
+6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.8 Crosses 17.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Randers FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.66 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
336 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAK
22.10.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
03.09.2023 Brondby Brondby 3-1 HT 3-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
07.05.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-3 HT 0-3 Brondby Brondby DAN
23.04.2023 Brondby Brondby 0-4 HT 0-2 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
09.10.2022 Randers FC Randers FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
2-2
AWAY Randers FC
0.99 xG 0.68
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
645 Passes 282
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
44 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby and Randers FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brondby at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Brondby had 66% of the ball to Randers FC's 34%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 0.99 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Brondby and 1.67 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Randers FC?

Brondby 2-2 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brondby 44%, draw 27%, Randers FC 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brondby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ BTTS Yes
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