FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.65
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2
14%
5.63
X/X
14%
5.24
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.42
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.67/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.49
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
15.5 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kopenhag
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.69 xG 1.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
470 Passes 401
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
38 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
07.04.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
26.02.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
16.09.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 1-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
08.05.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
04.05.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 5-3 HT 3-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland edged past Kopenhag 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day FC Nordsjaelland made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 2.17 for Kopenhag.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag?

FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 Kopenhag in the Denmark - Süperlig on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 35%, draw 26%, Kopenhag 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kopenhag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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