FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 7 Apr 2024

FC Nordsjaelland
2-1 HT 2-0
Kopenhag
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 23% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.58
1/2
13%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
10%
5.67
X/2
14%
5.76
X/X
16%
4.87
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
11%
3.66
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Nordsjaelland v Kopenhag — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.67/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.39
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
15.5 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kopenhag
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.71 xG 2.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
422 Passes 430
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.02.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
16.09.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 1-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
08.05.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
04.05.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 5-3 HT 3-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
26.04.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAK
02.04.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland edged past Kopenhag 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 38% — and on the day FC Nordsjaelland made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kopenhag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 2.50 for Kopenhag.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag?

FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 Kopenhag in the Denmark - Süperlig on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 31%, draw 30%, Kopenhag 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kopenhag), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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