Vejle 1-1 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 7 Apr 2024

Vejle
1-1 HT 0-0
Viborg
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.86
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.1
X/1
12%
5.6
X/2
9%
5.41
X/X
14%
4.42
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
20%
3.68
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 1/X at 13.1 — our 10% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.16/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.34
+13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
18.7 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Viborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 2.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
269 Passes 363
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
21.08.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
09.05.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 0-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
11.04.2022 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
13.03.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
19.09.2021 Vejle Vejle 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
1-1
AWAY Viborg
1.10 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
256 Passes 282
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vejle vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vejle and Viborg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Vejle had 50% of the ball to Viborg's 50%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.10 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vejle and 1.67 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Vejle vs Viborg?

Vejle 1-1 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Vejle 34%, draw 31%, Viborg 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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