AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AGF Aarhus v Midtjylland — Team-Based Signals
AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
2-0
HT 1-0
Midtjylland
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Midtjylland
DAN
0-2
HT 0-0
AGF Aarhus
DAN
3-0
HT 3-0
Midtjylland
DAN
AGF Aarhus 0-1 Midtjylland — Actual Match Statistics
Midtjylland squeezed past AGF Aarhus 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, AGF Aarhus had 53% of the ball to Midtjylland's 47%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.45 to 1.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AGF Aarhus and 0.83 for Midtjylland.
What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland?
AGF Aarhus 0-1 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Midtjylland?
Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 29%, draw 26%, Midtjylland 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.