Hvidovre 1-3 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
30%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.89
1/2
5%
21.85
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
12%
9.78
X/2
23%
4.3
X/X
6%
5.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.17
2/X
4%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.1pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.1pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+1.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 58%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.37/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.16
-34% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
23.6 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Randers FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.61 xG 2.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
444 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 34
24 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-3 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
30.07.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
1-3
AWAY Randers FC
1.16 xG 2.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
383 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC saw off Hvidovre 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hvidovre had 55% of the ball to Randers FC's 45%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.16 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Randers FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hvidovre and 2.50 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Randers FC?

Hvidovre 1-3 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 27%, draw 18%, Randers FC 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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