Hvidovre 1-3 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.58
1/2
8%
23.3
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
8%
8.6
X/2
11%
4.06
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
24%
2.31
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-9.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 56%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.07/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.62
-45% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 80%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
25.3 Crosses 22.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Randers FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
30.07.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
1-3
AWAY Randers FC
1.61 xG 2.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
444 Passes 238
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 34
24 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC got the better of Hvidovre 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hvidovre had 62% of the ball to Randers FC's 38%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.61 to 2.80.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Randers FC?

Hvidovre 1-3 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 30%, draw 27%, Randers FC 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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