Brondby 1-0 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 18 Feb 2024

Brondby
1-0 HT 1-0
Midtjylland
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Denmark - Süperlig – 2023/2024

Brondby vs Midtjylland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
47%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 26% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.39
1/2
10%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.99
X/2
21%
5.62
X/X
11%
4.6
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.99
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-9.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
47%
Away Win
34%
+13.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brondby v Midtjylland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.48/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.43
+1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
19.8 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Brondby vs Midtjylland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
380 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
27.02.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
29.08.2022 Brondby Brondby 0-2 HT 0-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
12.05.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-2 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
25.04.2022 Brondby Brondby 1-3 HT 1-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
12.12.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-2 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAK

Brondby 1-0 Midtjylland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
1-0
AWAY Midtjylland
1.63 xG 1.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
302 Passes 404
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 53
11 Crosses 38
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby squeezed past Midtjylland 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Midtjylland at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Brondby had 44% of the ball to Midtjylland's 56%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.63 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brondby and 1.33 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Brondby 1-0 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brondby 31%, draw 22%, Midtjylland 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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