Kopenhag 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.04
2-3 Goals
41%
2.08
4-5 Goals
25%
2.57
6+ Goals
14%
5.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
17%
4.59
X/2
6%
8.06
X/X
8%
6.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.4
2/2
17%
5.0
2/X
6%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.70/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.51
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
19.5 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kopenhag
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.15 xG 1.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
428 Passes 432
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
26.02.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
16.09.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 1-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
08.05.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
04.05.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 5-3 HT 3-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAK
26.04.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAK
POST-MATCH Kopenhag vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kopenhag and FC Nordsjaelland couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kopenhag at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kopenhag and 2.17 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Kopenhag vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Kopenhag 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kopenhag vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kopenhag 49%, draw 21%, FC Nordsjaelland 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kopenhag), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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