Midtjylland 3-3 Silkeborg IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.81
2-3 Goals
39%
2.17
4-5 Goals
27%
2.48
6+ Goals
14%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.4
X/1
23%
3.85
X/2
8%
15.2
X/X
7%
8.37
2/1
8%
18.7
2/2
11%
9.99
2/X
9%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.6pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.3pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg IF EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
2.14/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.82
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
431 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
23.6 Crosses 12.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Silkeborg IF
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.75 xG 1.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
406 Passes 508
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 3-0 HT 3-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
27.11.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 1-4 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
30.07.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 2-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
29.05.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 3-3 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
01.05.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-0 HT 3-0 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF DAN
19.03.2023 Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF 3-3 HT 1-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
3-3
AWAY Silkeborg IF
2.50 xG 0.49
40% Ball Possession 60%
25 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
286 Passes 481
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
45 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Silkeborg IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland and Silkeborg IF shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Midtjylland at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Midtjylland had 40% of the ball to Silkeborg IF's 60%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.50 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Midtjylland and 1.67 for Silkeborg IF.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Silkeborg IF?

Midtjylland 3-3 Silkeborg IF in the Denmark - Süperlig on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Silkeborg IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 55%, draw 22%, Silkeborg IF 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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