Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.08
Draw
38%
2.83
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
29%
-4.4pp
38%
Draw
32%
+6.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.16/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.75
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bahardar
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2024 Bahardar Bahardar 2-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
18.04.2024 Bahardar Bahardar 0-0 HT 0-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
0-1
AWAY Bahardar
44% Ball Possession 56%
1 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar nicked a narrow win over Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 25% / 38% / 37% — and on the day Bahardar made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 44% of the ball to Bahardar's 56%, shots finished 1-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bahardar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Hadiya Hosaena and 1.00 for Bahardar.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar?

Hadiya Hosaena 0-1 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 25%, draw 38%, Bahardar 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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