Rodez 5-1 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 Mar 2025

Rodez
5-1 HT 0-1
Dunkerque
📅10/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Rodez vs Dunkerque Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.13
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
14%
5.96
X/2
10%
5.32
X/X
12%
4.6
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
19%
3.47
2/X
11%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rodez v Dunkerque — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rodez EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.22/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.02
+2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
23.4 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rodez vs Dunkerque Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rodez
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dunkerque
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 0.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
274 Passes 334
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.08.2024 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-0 HT 1-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
10.02.2024 Rodez Rodez 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
23.09.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-2 HT 0-1 Rodez Rodez FR2
12.02.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 2-0 HT 2-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
28.08.2021 Rodez Rodez 2-2 HT 0-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
02.02.2021 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
POST-MATCH Rodez vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rodez swept aside Dunkerque 5-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Rodez made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunkerque led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rodez and 1.00 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Rodez vs Dunkerque?

Rodez 5-1 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rodez vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rodez 36%, draw 28%, Dunkerque 36%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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