Mohammedan 2-2 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 10 Mar 2025

Mohammedan
2-2 HT 0-1
Punjab FC
📅10/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

Mohammedan vs Punjab FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mohammedan v Punjab FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 57%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.96/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.63
-49% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
14.3 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Mohammedan vs Punjab FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mohammedan
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Punjab FC
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.62 xG 0.69
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
368 Passes 199
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.12.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Mohammedan Mohammedan HİNSL
22.01.2023 Mohammedan Mohammedan 0-4 HT 0-2 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİND
20.11.2022 Punjab FC Punjab FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Mohammedan Mohammedan HİND
26.04.2022 Mohammedan Mohammedan 2-2 HT 1-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİND
10.04.2022 Mohammedan Mohammedan 1-3 HT 1-2 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİND

Mohammedan 2-2 Punjab FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mohammedan
2-2
AWAY Punjab FC
1.30 xG 1.61
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
255 Passes 194
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mohammedan vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mohammedan and Punjab FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Punjab FC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mohammedan had 55% of the ball to Punjab FC's 45%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.30 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Punjab FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Mohammedan and 2.40 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of Mohammedan vs Punjab FC?

Mohammedan 2-2 Punjab FC in the India - Super League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mohammedan vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Punjab FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mohammedan 22%, draw 28%, Punjab FC 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Punjab FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Punjab FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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