Budapest Vasas 3-1 Kozarmisleny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
2.06/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/2.15
+16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Vasas
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Kozarmisleny
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 4-2 HT 1-1 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
15.04.2024 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-1 HT 1-1 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
08.10.2023 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 4-3 HT 1-1 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Vasas
3-1
AWAY Kozarmisleny
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Budapest Vasas vs Kozarmisleny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Vasas beat Kozarmisleny 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Budapest Vasas as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Budapest Vasas had 53% of the ball to Kozarmisleny's 47%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kozarmisleny led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Budapest Vasas and 3.00 for Kozarmisleny.

What was the final score of Budapest Vasas vs Kozarmisleny?

Budapest Vasas 3-1 Kozarmisleny in the Hungary - NB II on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Vasas vs Kozarmisleny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Budapest Vasas 54%, draw 22%, Kozarmisleny 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Vasas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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