Parnu JK 2-1 Tartu Welco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-3.7pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Tartu Welco EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tartu Welco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2021 Tartu Welco Tartu Welco 2-1 HT 1-1 Parnu JK Parnu JK EST2
05.08.2021 Parnu JK Parnu JK 2-1 HT 1-0 Tartu Welco Tartu Welco EST2
22.05.2021 Tartu Welco Tartu Welco 1-3 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Parnu JK EST2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK
2-1
AWAY Tartu Welco
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Parnu JK vs Tartu Welco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK nicked a narrow win over Tartu Welco 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Parnu JK as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Parnu JK had 59% of the ball to Tartu Welco's 41%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Parnu JK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Parnu JK and 1.33 for Tartu Welco.

What was the final score of Parnu JK vs Tartu Welco?

Parnu JK 2-1 Tartu Welco in the Estonia - Cup on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK vs Tartu Welco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK 61%, draw 19%, Tartu Welco 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Parnu JK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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