FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 10 Mar 2026

📅10/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.61
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
58%
+1.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-41% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
05.10.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
18.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
29.06.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.03.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-1
AWAY Nomme United
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 9
13 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn saw off Nomme United 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 51% of the ball to Nomme United's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.20 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme United?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Cup on 10/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 60%, draw 20%, Nomme United 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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