Nomme United 0-4 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.95
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
54%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+11.0pp
25%
Draw
16%
+9.8pp
54%
Away Win
75%
-20.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme United EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 80%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
0.25/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.78
-70% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
209 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 513 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme United
0W-1D-2L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 1-0 HT 0-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
29.06.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.03.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 2-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme United
0-4
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nomme United vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn cruised past Nomme United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nomme United had 34% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 66%, shots finished 7-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nomme United and 1.33 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Nomme United vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Nomme United 0-4 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme United vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nomme United 20%, draw 25%, FC Flora Tallinn 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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