Trans Narva 0-2 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
58%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
58%
Away Win
67%
-8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 71%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.09/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.60
+7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +43%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
14.09.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
29.06.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
02.03.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 6-0 HT 3-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
01.10.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
01.07.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
0-2
AWAY FC Levadia
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia got the better of Trans Narva 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Trans Narva had 48% of the ball to FC Levadia's 52%, shots finished 12-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Trans Narva and 2.33 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs FC Levadia?

Trans Narva 0-2 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 20%, draw 23%, FC Levadia 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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