Tallinna Kalev 1-2 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.3pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.10/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.73
-18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
277 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1W-3D-2L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 4-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
02.06.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 4-0 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
27.10.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-7 HT 2-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
05.08.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
07.05.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
1-2
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu squeezed past Tallinna Kalev 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day JK Tammeka Tartu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 59% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 41%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, JK Tammeka Tartu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 2.17 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Tallinna Kalev 1-2 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated an JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 30%, draw 30%, JK Tammeka Tartu 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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