JK Tammeka Tartu 4-1 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +24%
1.16/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.47
-15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 4-0 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
03.03.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
27.10.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-7 HT 2-2 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
05.08.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
07.05.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 0-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
19.04.2023 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
4-1
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu ran out comfortable winners over Tallinna Kalev 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JK Tammeka Tartu as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 52% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 48%, shots finished 21-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 2.00 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev?

JK Tammeka Tartu 4-1 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 44%, draw 25%, Tallinna Kalev 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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