Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Leones FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.0pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.39/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.80
-11% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Leones FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira and Leones FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Pereira at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Leones FC?

Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Leones FC in the Colombia - Cup on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Leones FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 56%, draw 22%, Leones FC 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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