Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 32%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.20/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.13
-4% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF nicked a narrow win over Once Caldas 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas?

Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Cup on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 43%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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