Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.33
No
49%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
39%
+12.1pp
49%
BTTS No
61%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
1.94/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.04
+10% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +66%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
06.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
02.06.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
05.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
13.11.2022 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-3 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.09.2022 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 5-1 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3-0
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris swept aside Dziugas Telsiai 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 60% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 40%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.33 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 52%, draw 29%, Dziugas Telsiai 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
10 Apr 2024
18:00 Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva Analysis →
18:00 FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys Analysis →
20:00 Zalgiris Vilnius vs TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis →