Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-14.7pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.0pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+10.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
2.30/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.71
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +124% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-0
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
71% Ball Possession 29%
10 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius got the better of TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 71% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 29%, shots finished 10-3.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 57%, draw 21%, TransINVEST Vilnius 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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