Ferencvaros 2-1 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.47
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.8pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.37/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.20
+9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 184 · 68%
40.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
29.0 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Diosgyor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.95 xG 1.63
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
371 Passes 346
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
34 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MACK
22.10.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
02.03.2021 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
20.01.2021 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-1 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
05.12.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-3 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
07.06.2020 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
2-1
AWAY Diosgyor
3.20 xG 0.93
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
624 Passes 257
91% Pass Accuracy 78%
49 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros squeezed past Diosgyor 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 68% of the ball to Diosgyor's 32%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.20 to 0.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Ferencvaros's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ferencvaros and 0.50 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Diosgyor?

Ferencvaros 2-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 66%, draw 18%, Diosgyor 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →