10/04/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
1-2
Skreia vs Raufoss Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over Pick
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
40%
4-5
33%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
23%
Home Win
5%
19%
Draw
8%
59%
Away Win
88%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Skreia v Raufoss — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Skreia
The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Raufoss
The Market 94%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-10%
/
-8%
37%
Ball Possession
63%
9
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
6
259 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
527 · 87%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Skreia vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Raufoss cruised past Skreia 8-0 away from home. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Raufoss as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Skreia vs Raufoss?
Skreia 0-8 Raufoss in the Norway - NM Cup on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Skreia vs Raufoss?
Before kick-off our model rated an Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Skreia 23%, draw 19%, Raufoss 59%. The final score 0-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raufoss), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Raufoss)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOK
More Norway - NM Cup
10 Apr 2024