ABD (K) 2-2 Kanada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — SheBelieves Cup, 10 Apr 2024

ABD (K)
2-2 HT 0-1
Kanada (K)
📅10/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
SheBelieves Cup – 2024

ABD (K) vs Kanada (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ABD (K) v Kanada (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.34/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.83
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +100%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
36.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
16.1 Crosses 14.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

ABD (K) vs Kanada (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD (K)
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kanada (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.74 xG 0.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
306 Passes 256
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.03.2024 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 2-2 HT 0-1 ABD (K) ABD (K) GKK
17.02.2023 ABD (K) ABD (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) SHEBEL
02.08.2021 ABD (K) ABD (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) OLİ
18.10.2018 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 ABD (K) ABD (K) Kuzey / Orta Amerika - Kadınlar DK CONCACAF Elemeleri
13.11.2017 ABD (K) ABD (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) HAZ
10.11.2017 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 ABD (K) ABD (K) HAZ

ABD (K) 2-2 Kanada (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD (K)
2-2
AWAY Kanada (K)
0.96 xG 1.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
418 Passes 247
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ABD (K) vs Kanada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD (K) and Kanada (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ABD (K) at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, ABD (K) had 60% of the ball to Kanada (K)'s 40%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.96 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ABD (K) and 0.83 for Kanada (K).

What was the final score of ABD (K) vs Kanada (K)?

ABD (K) 2-2 Kanada (K) in the SheBelieves Cup on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD (K) vs Kanada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ABD (K) 56%, draw 23%, Kanada (K) 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (ABD (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ABD (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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