Domzale 0-1 Rogaska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 10 Apr 2024

📅10/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rogaska EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Rogaska
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Rogaska Rogaska 4-1 HT 2-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
25.11.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 1-2 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
08.10.2023 Domzale Domzale 3-0 HT 1-0 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
0-1
AWAY Rogaska
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Rogaska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rogaska squeezed past Domzale 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Rogaska made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Domzale had 58% of the ball to Rogaska's 42%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Domzale had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Domzale and 1.67 for Rogaska.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Rogaska?

Domzale 0-1 Rogaska in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 10/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Rogaska?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rogaska win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Domzale 34%, draw 29%, Rogaska 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rogaska) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rogaska) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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