Rogaska 4-1 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rogaska EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.00/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.01
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rogaska
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Domzale
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Rogaska Rogaska 1-2 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
08.10.2023 Domzale Domzale 3-0 HT 1-0 Rogaska Rogaska SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rogaska
4-1
AWAY Domzale
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Rogaska vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rogaska cruised past Domzale 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Rogaska made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rogaska had 48% of the ball to Domzale's 52%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Domzale led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rogaska and 2.50 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Rogaska vs Domzale?

Rogaska 4-1 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rogaska vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Domzale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rogaska 34%, draw 27%, Domzale 40%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Domzale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Domzale) ✓ Over 2.5
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