Radomlje 1-3 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
50%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.86
Over 2.5
60%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.58
6+ Goals
14%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-6.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
50%
-9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
50%
+9.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.7pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomlje EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 60%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.01/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.12
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomlje
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
08.10.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 HT 1-1 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
03.05.2023 Radomlje Radomlje 2-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
04.03.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
05.11.2022 Radomlje Radomlje 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
27.08.2022 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 1-0 Radomlje Radomlje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomlje
1-3
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radomlje vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana beat Radomlje 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Radomlje had 47% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 53%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Radomlje and 1.33 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Radomlje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Radomlje 1-3 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomlje vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Radomlje 26%, draw 24%, Olimpija Ljubljana 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
17 Feb 2024
15:00 Rogaska vs Domzale Analysis →