Bodo / Glimt 2-0 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.39
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
14%
6.38
X/2
12%
5.32
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
22%
3.32
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo / Glimt EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.83/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.54
+81% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +126%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
14.7 Crosses 14.6
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodo / Glimt
2-0
AWAY Lazio
3.02 xG 0.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
558 Passes 359
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
48 Box Touches 14
6 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bodo / Glimt vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo / Glimt got the better of Lazio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lazio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bodo / Glimt had 58% of the ball to Lazio's 42%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 3.02 to 0.49.

What was the final score of Bodo / Glimt vs Lazio?

Bodo / Glimt 2-0 Lazio in the UEFA Europa League on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo / Glimt vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bodo / Glimt 34%, draw 26%, Lazio 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lazio), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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