Botev Vratsa 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
50%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.5pp
30%
Draw
20%
+9.8pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-16.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.6pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 70%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.63
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -37%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
29.09.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-2 HT 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
03.12.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-0 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
08.04.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 8-1 HT 3-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
0-1
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
27% Ball Possession 73%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad edged past Botev Vratsa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 27% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 73%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Botev Vratsa and 4.50 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Botev Vratsa 0-1 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - Cup on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 20%, draw 30%, Ludogorets Razgrad 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →