Botev Vratsa 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
16.01
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
62%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.15
Over 2.5
43%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.81
No
63%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
4%
+13.5pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.0pp
62%
Away Win
80%
-18.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
43%
+14.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
57%
-14.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.5pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 84%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
0.91/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.38
+42% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +95%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
213 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 6.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 5-0 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
08.04.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 8-1 HT 3-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
0-2
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
36% Ball Possession 64%
2 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad saw off Botev Vratsa 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 36% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 64%, shots finished 2-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Botev Vratsa and 6.50 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Botev Vratsa 0-2 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 18%, draw 20%, Ludogorets Razgrad 62%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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