Levski Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.89/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.05
-9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 4-0 HT 3-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
01.11.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
11.06.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
19.03.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-3 HT 0-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
2-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia edged past Arda Kardzhali 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 54% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 46%, shots finished 19-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.00 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Levski Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 60%, draw 22%, Arda Kardzhali 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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