CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.6pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.3pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.17/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.13
+14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
06.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
07.04.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
08.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
10.04.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 2-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
07.07.2018 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-2 HT 2-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
0-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv nicked a narrow win over CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Botev Plovdiv found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 48% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 52%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.83 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 37%, draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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