CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
48%
-14.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+11.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 30%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.27/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.26
+7% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
07.04.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
08.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
10.04.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 2-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
07.07.2018 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 3-2 HT 2-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia squeezed past Botev Plovdiv 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; CSKA 1948 Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 60% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 40%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.80 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 33%, draw 29%, Botev Plovdiv 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✓ BTTS Yes
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