CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Sofia v Cherno More Varna — Team-Based Signals
CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
2-0
HT 0-0
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
1-2
HT 0-0
Cherno More Varna
BULK
CSKA Sofia 0-1 Cherno More Varna — Actual Match Statistics
Cherno More Varna squeezed past CSKA Sofia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, CSKA Sofia had 58% of the ball to Cherno More Varna's 42%, shots finished 7-5.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.00 for Cherno More Varna.
What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
CSKA Sofia 0-1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More Varna?
Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 42%, draw 28%, Cherno More Varna 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.