Arda Kardzhali 3-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.42/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.03
+43% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
06.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 2-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
07.10.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
01.06.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
19.05.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
27.06.2022 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
3-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali got the better of Slavia Sofia 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Arda Kardzhali made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 54% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 46%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 0.83 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali 3-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 35%, draw 30%, Slavia Sofia 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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