Levski Sofia 4-0 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 22%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.01/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.81
+22% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
459 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
11.06.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
19.03.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-3 HT 0-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Sofia
4-0
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 4
13 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia swept aside Arda Kardzhali 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Levski Sofia had 68% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 32%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.00 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Levski Sofia 4-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 47%, draw 30%, Arda Kardzhali 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
24 Feb 2024
13:45 Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Hebar 1918 Analysis →
16:15 Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia Analysis →