PSM Makassar 2-0 Semen Padang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 10 Apr 2025

PSM Makassar
2-0 HT 1-0
Semen Padang
📅10/04/2025 · 🕒11:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

PSM Makassar vs Semen Padang Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSM Makassar v Semen Padang — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.81/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.56
+3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

PSM Makassar vs Semen Padang Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Semen Padang
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
The Meetings
21.11.2024 Semen Padang Semen Padang 1-1 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
23.09.2019 Semen Padang Semen Padang 2-1 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Semen Padang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar beat Semen Padang 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PSM Makassar as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Semen Padang led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.50 for Semen Padang.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Semen Padang?

PSM Makassar 2-0 Semen Padang in the Indonesia League 1 on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Semen Padang?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 56%, draw 23%, Semen Padang 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✗ Over 2.5
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