Semen Padang 1-1 PSM Makassar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 21 Nov 2024

Semen Padang
1-1 HT 0-0
PSM Makassar
📅21/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Semen Padang vs PSM Makassar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Semen Padang v PSM Makassar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 54%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.72/3.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.54
-38% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +115%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Semen Padang vs PSM Makassar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Semen Padang
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PSM Makassar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
The Meetings
23.09.2019 Semen Padang Semen Padang 2-1 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH Semen Padang vs PSM Makassar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Semen Padang and PSM Makassar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Semen Padang vs PSM Makassar?

Semen Padang 1-1 PSM Makassar in the Indonesia League 1 on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs PSM Makassar?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 30%, draw 22%, PSM Makassar 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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