Madura United vs Arema Malang Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Madura United v Arema Malang — Team-Based Signals
Madura United vs Arema Malang Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Madura United
ENDL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Madura United
ENDL1
1-2
HT 0-0
Arema Malang
ENDL1
2-0
HT 1-0
Madura United
ENDL1
Arema Malang saw off Madura United 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Arema Malang made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arema Malang led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Madura United and 1.25 for Arema Malang.
What was the final score of Madura United vs Arema Malang?
Madura United 2-4 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Madura United vs Arema Malang?
Before kick-off our model rated a Madura United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Madura United 39%, draw 27%, Arema Malang 34%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.