Al Nasar 1-0 Al Yarmouk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Emir Cup, 10 Apr 2025

📅10/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Yarmouk
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.02.2025 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
29.09.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
09.03.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
29.11.2020 Al Nasar Al Nasar 5-0 HT 1-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nasar
1-0
AWAY Al Yarmouk
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar edged past Al Yarmouk 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Al Nasar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Nasar had 47% of the ball to Al Yarmouk's 53%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Nasar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for Al Nasar and 0.50 for Al Yarmouk.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk?

Al Nasar 1-0 Al Yarmouk in the Kuwait - Emir Cup on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Al Yarmouk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 40%, draw 28%, Al Yarmouk 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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