Super Nova 1-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 10 Apr 2025

Super Nova
1-1 HT 1-1
Grobina
📅10/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2025

Super Nova vs Grobina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.89
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.71
Over 2.5
51%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
49%
-15.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.5pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Super Nova v Grobina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
– Crosses 21.6
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Super Nova 1-1 Grobina — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
1-1
AWAY Grobina
1.18 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 294
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova and Grobina shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Super Nova had 50% of the ball to Grobina's 50%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.18 to 1.63.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Grobina?

Super Nova 1-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 34%, draw 33%, Grobina 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Super Nova), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Super Nova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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