FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FS Jelgava v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-1
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
FS Jelgava 4-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
FS Jelgava cruised past BFC Daugavpils 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was BFC Daugavpils at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, FS Jelgava had 46% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 54%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.06 to 0.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FS Jelgava and 0.83 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
FS Jelgava 4-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 10/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 32%, draw 27%, BFC Daugavpils 41%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) went the other way.