FS Jelgava 0-0 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.1pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
0.98/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.25
-15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
15.8 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
0W-3D-3L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
263 Passes 258
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-0 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
03.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
09.03.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
16.09.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
30.06.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
26.05.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 5-2 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-0
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.08 xG 0.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
232 Passes 254
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 47% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 53%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.08 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.67 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

FS Jelgava 0-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 35%, draw 27%, BFC Daugavpils 38%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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