BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v FS Jelgava — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-1
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
5-2
HT 1-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-1
HT 1-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
BFC Daugavpils 3-0 FS Jelgava — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils cruised past FS Jelgava 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day BFC Daugavpils made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 52% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 48%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.60 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 0.83 for FS Jelgava.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
BFC Daugavpils 3-0 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 38%, draw 27%, FS Jelgava 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.